台積電有可能成為百年企業嗎 ? - 工程師
By Genevieve
at 2017-03-22T23:32
at 2017-03-22T23:32
Table of Contents
我可以告訴你,我覺得不可能
首先,什麼叫作「百年企業」呢???
1、百年之後還是很大
2、百年之後還活著
不管是這兩個的哪一個,我都覺得不可能
。
1、百年之後還是很大
你知道嗎,道瓊工業指數大概是1900年左右發明,一直以來他都只有30檔,這30檔你可以
把它理解成美國最大的30間公司,1900年美國最大的30間公司,到現在還有誰持續存在在
上面呢???
只有愛迪生創辦的奇異電器而已,剩下的29檔不是變小了,就是掛了
所以百年企業是這麼的難當,機率才1/30而已
。
這邊就要跳出來講一下,我認為怎樣的企業可以成為百年企業
a、完全壟斷、遠遠超越對手
b、換過領導人,還是經營得很好
。
a、完全壟斷、遠遠超越對手
目前台積只是「超越對手」而已,根本就沒有完全壟斷、遠遠超越對手,不說別的,就說
iphone 6好了,蘋果同時找了三星、台積來代工,雖然後來證明了三星失敗,不過這說明
了蘋果當時認為台積跟三星是沒有差很多的
怎樣叫完全壟斷、遠遠超越對手
像iphone就算了,要達到iphone這個層級才行,或者臉書、google、微軟,這種層級才行
,他的對手根本就望塵莫及
b、換過領導人,還是經營得很好
不用說了,台積更不可能,之前換蔡力行當執行長,經營得一敗塗地,台積經營得這麼好
,只是因為張忠謀很聰明而已,跟別人完全無關
。
2、百年之後還活著
台積如果百年之後不是很大,那百年之後就不會活著
。
台積百年之後還是很大的機率,大概0.01%吧
百年之後還活著的機率,大概1%
※ 引述《goodpoint (worry)》之銘言:
: 台灣最強企業-台積電兼台股獲利王 市值王 資本額王
: 剛剛查到
: 台GG成立於1987 年 2 月 21 日
: 今年是成立30周年ㄝ (不知有無30周年慶活動 可能要請教版上的GG人)
: 想問的是...
: 大家覺得台積電有可能成為百年企業嗎 ??
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