[爆卦] 貓空纜車基座邊坡滑落的原因!!! - 土木
By Hardy 
at 2008-11-19T19:49
at 2008-11-19T19:49
Table of Contents
※ [本文轉錄自 Gossiping 看板] 
 
作者: sheepin (羊) 站內: Gossiping
標題: [爆卦] 貓空纜車基座邊坡滑落的原因分析
時間: Wed Nov 19 17:54:31 2008
 
本文轉載自 billypan 的 blog,已獲得原作者同意
 
(原blog有照片及圖檔分析,建議連過去看比較精彩)
 
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/billypan101/14368485
 
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/billypan101/14368593
 
 
 
以下為文字部分節錄:
 
 
貓纜T16號基柱山壁整個崩塌,上面照片是我從現場拍回來的。
現在的貓纜,可以說是『歸組壞了了』(台)。
 
整個現場由於有高樓檔住,必需繞到巷子裏才能看的清楚,如果
大家想去了解,可以由台北市文山區萬壽路61巷進去看就知道。
 
就是從下面照片中綠野山莊旁邊有大樹那巷子走到底。
 
 
從Google Earth上來看,山崩點如下圖所示
 
我們很容易可以了解一件事情:
 
1。山崩由基座開始,所以這和貓纜基座一定有關。
2。下面的山坡有許多房子,所以這也和建築影響水土保持有關。
3。山崩是大雨後開始,所以這也和雨水有關。
 
廢話,一般山崩不都是這樣。
 
 
然後呢,如果我們深入去探究,開啟Google Map的地圖和衛星
影像重疊功能,我們就會發現第四個驚人的事實:
 
山坡崩塌的地方,剛好下面地底就是北二高隧道經過!!
 
下面的隧道會對上方的土石帶來什些影響?
 
車輛高速行駛在隧道中,帶來的微量振動,會不會漸漸造成土石
或岩盤的鬆動?
 
隧道的主體結構,對於排水有何影響?
 
根據Google Map的地形圖(聯結),T16基座高海拔280公尺,社區
高海拔120-140公尺,而北二高的隧道高海拔100公尺。
 
如果畫成圖,相對的位置差不多是這樣的:
 
山壁崩壞的這麼厲害,是因為當初環境影響評估沒有認真做,現在
造成損失而且影響到下方住民的安全,光這一點,馬市長就必預受
到彈彈劾。
 
談補救的話,如果市政府只是要補強山壁,我覺得是太草率的做法
。要認真評估的話,應該要研究到底下面的北二高隧道和走山有沒
有關係。甚至,會不會在隧道開挖的時候,已經把岩盤破壞一部份
了,而引起了這次的山崩。
 
(我這說法並非空穴來風,早有學術論文討論,請見
http://www.ceci.org.tw/book/67/67bk10a.htm)
 
真的要講安全,就算用超級電腦,能模擬20年間的春夏秋冬和雨水
,加上基柱,民房,隧道三個因素,我覺得也沒有人敢負責。
 
下方的社區住戶大概有好幾百戶,因為這次走山,房價也是山崩式
的下跌: (註:售屋網站上的標示都是"出價就談")
 
 
上篇文章中提到貓纜T16號基座下方走山/邊坡滑動/山崩的原因有四點:
 
1。T16基座工程:山崩由基座開始,所以這和貓纜基座一定有關。
2。社區大樓和民房工程:下面的山坡有許多房子,所以這也和建築影響
水土保持有關。
3。雨水:山崩是大雨後開始,所以這也和雨水有關。
4。土地下方通過的北二高隧道:山坡崩塌的地方,剛好下面地底就是北
二高隧道經過!!
 
在我查考資料的時候又發現第5個因素,或許是最重要的,決定貓纜非
砍不可的一擊必殺致命點:
 
5。新店斷層!好死不死就剛好從山崩點附近過!!
 
比利潘寫文章一定附上資料出處,這次,我們要看的是經濟部中央地質局的資料。
http://datawarehouse.moeacgs.gov.tw/geo/index/GISSearch/MSDefault.htm
 
我們把山崩地的TWD67經緯度資料輸入後,找到附近的地型圖:
把這張圖重疊到Google Earth上來看
 
然後,放大我們的"熱點"--也就是山崩的地方來看,天啊.....
 
貓纜T16號基座下方邊坡滑落的地方,剛好是新店斷層和北二高隧道的交會點!
 
 
你可能會說聽你在唬爛,有斷層的事工程單位會不知道,只有你部落客知道。
不好意思,這不是秘密。工程單位當然知道,因為,在北二高木柵隧道建造的
時候,就吃過這個斷層的虧,而讓工程很不順利了!
 
見這篇學術論文(這種超冷門的東西也找的到,你就知道Google有多厲害了)
http://www.ctta.org/FileUpload/ctta/P3-28.PDF
 
 
加上這第5個因素-斷層,貓纜這T16基座非廢掉不可。這個基座廢了,整個工程
要重來非常昂貴和困難,所以馬英九的貓纜砍掉後,也不能再重練了!
 
下方有民宅,有隧道,有斷層還要做這樣的工程,造成現在損失超過20億以上,
人民生命飽受威脅的無法收拾的後果,比照阿扁的海角七億所受的待遇,這件事
的主要負責人,馬英九,3.5年總統下台後,應該立刻起訴並且收押吧。
 
再有大雨或來個地震,我不知道會發生什麼事。郝龍斌市長,你可以再混一點。
快把這T16基座拆了,不然鬧出事故人命,你可沒有總統的法律保護傘,會被立
刻起訴收押的...
 
PS.有人問我是不是有一個團隊幫忙提供資料寫 blog?沒有,每一個字都是我想
出來打進去的。類似的話我也逼問過艾瑪,哈哈...
 
 
 
 
 
 
--
[綿羊捲] 觀賞用植物。
綿羊一遇到她,就會捲起來,因此而得名。
 
http://sheepin.blogspot.com
 
--
    作者: sheepin (羊) 站內: Gossiping
標題: [爆卦] 貓空纜車基座邊坡滑落的原因分析
時間: Wed Nov 19 17:54:31 2008
本文轉載自 billypan 的 blog,已獲得原作者同意
(原blog有照片及圖檔分析,建議連過去看比較精彩)
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/billypan101/14368485
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/billypan101/14368593
以下為文字部分節錄:
貓纜T16號基柱山壁整個崩塌,上面照片是我從現場拍回來的。
現在的貓纜,可以說是『歸組壞了了』(台)。
整個現場由於有高樓檔住,必需繞到巷子裏才能看的清楚,如果
大家想去了解,可以由台北市文山區萬壽路61巷進去看就知道。
就是從下面照片中綠野山莊旁邊有大樹那巷子走到底。
從Google Earth上來看,山崩點如下圖所示
我們很容易可以了解一件事情:
1。山崩由基座開始,所以這和貓纜基座一定有關。
2。下面的山坡有許多房子,所以這也和建築影響水土保持有關。
3。山崩是大雨後開始,所以這也和雨水有關。
廢話,一般山崩不都是這樣。
然後呢,如果我們深入去探究,開啟Google Map的地圖和衛星
影像重疊功能,我們就會發現第四個驚人的事實:
山坡崩塌的地方,剛好下面地底就是北二高隧道經過!!
下面的隧道會對上方的土石帶來什些影響?
車輛高速行駛在隧道中,帶來的微量振動,會不會漸漸造成土石
或岩盤的鬆動?
隧道的主體結構,對於排水有何影響?
根據Google Map的地形圖(聯結),T16基座高海拔280公尺,社區
高海拔120-140公尺,而北二高的隧道高海拔100公尺。
如果畫成圖,相對的位置差不多是這樣的:
山壁崩壞的這麼厲害,是因為當初環境影響評估沒有認真做,現在
造成損失而且影響到下方住民的安全,光這一點,馬市長就必預受
到彈彈劾。
談補救的話,如果市政府只是要補強山壁,我覺得是太草率的做法
。要認真評估的話,應該要研究到底下面的北二高隧道和走山有沒
有關係。甚至,會不會在隧道開挖的時候,已經把岩盤破壞一部份
了,而引起了這次的山崩。
(我這說法並非空穴來風,早有學術論文討論,請見
http://www.ceci.org.tw/book/67/67bk10a.htm)
真的要講安全,就算用超級電腦,能模擬20年間的春夏秋冬和雨水
,加上基柱,民房,隧道三個因素,我覺得也沒有人敢負責。
下方的社區住戶大概有好幾百戶,因為這次走山,房價也是山崩式
的下跌: (註:售屋網站上的標示都是"出價就談")
上篇文章中提到貓纜T16號基座下方走山/邊坡滑動/山崩的原因有四點:
1。T16基座工程:山崩由基座開始,所以這和貓纜基座一定有關。
2。社區大樓和民房工程:下面的山坡有許多房子,所以這也和建築影響
水土保持有關。
3。雨水:山崩是大雨後開始,所以這也和雨水有關。
4。土地下方通過的北二高隧道:山坡崩塌的地方,剛好下面地底就是北
二高隧道經過!!
在我查考資料的時候又發現第5個因素,或許是最重要的,決定貓纜非
砍不可的一擊必殺致命點:
5。新店斷層!好死不死就剛好從山崩點附近過!!
比利潘寫文章一定附上資料出處,這次,我們要看的是經濟部中央地質局的資料。
http://datawarehouse.moeacgs.gov.tw/geo/index/GISSearch/MSDefault.htm
我們把山崩地的TWD67經緯度資料輸入後,找到附近的地型圖:
把這張圖重疊到Google Earth上來看
然後,放大我們的"熱點"--也就是山崩的地方來看,天啊.....
貓纜T16號基座下方邊坡滑落的地方,剛好是新店斷層和北二高隧道的交會點!
你可能會說聽你在唬爛,有斷層的事工程單位會不知道,只有你部落客知道。
不好意思,這不是秘密。工程單位當然知道,因為,在北二高木柵隧道建造的
時候,就吃過這個斷層的虧,而讓工程很不順利了!
見這篇學術論文(這種超冷門的東西也找的到,你就知道Google有多厲害了)
http://www.ctta.org/FileUpload/ctta/P3-28.PDF
加上這第5個因素-斷層,貓纜這T16基座非廢掉不可。這個基座廢了,整個工程
要重來非常昂貴和困難,所以馬英九的貓纜砍掉後,也不能再重練了!
下方有民宅,有隧道,有斷層還要做這樣的工程,造成現在損失超過20億以上,
人民生命飽受威脅的無法收拾的後果,比照阿扁的海角七億所受的待遇,這件事
的主要負責人,馬英九,3.5年總統下台後,應該立刻起訴並且收押吧。
再有大雨或來個地震,我不知道會發生什麼事。郝龍斌市長,你可以再混一點。
快把這T16基座拆了,不然鬧出事故人命,你可沒有總統的法律保護傘,會被立
刻起訴收押的...
PS.有人問我是不是有一個團隊幫忙提供資料寫 blog?沒有,每一個字都是我想
出來打進去的。類似的話我也逼問過艾瑪,哈哈...
--
[綿羊捲] 觀賞用植物。
綿羊一遇到她,就會捲起來,因此而得名。
http://sheepin.blogspot.com
--
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