貿易戰對中國的影響? - 大陸工作
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By Madame
at 2018-07-31T05:15
at 2018-07-31T05:15
Table of Contents
貿易戰基本上若是中國人萬眾一心,跟美國死戰到底。還有得打
但是現在一開始就輸一半,主要是漢奸太多
美國提高關稅這不用說,當然會損傷中國的出口
但是中國提高關稅反制,結果被漢奸敗掉
怎麼說呢
中國提高從美國進口到中國的農產品,目的是讓美國的農業造成重大損失
結果六月美國大豆出口創新高,其中美國出口至中國的大豆確實造成損傷,減少一半
但是竟然出口至世界各地的量急劇增多,怎麼可能一個月之間世界各地突然狂吃大豆
原來是不肖商人從第三國進口美國大豆然後再倒貨賣到中國去
表面上中國贏了,我們跟別國買,讓你美國哭死
但是其實跟別國買的都是從美國倒貨過來的,美國總出口量還增加
當然還可以用一招反制,就是要求產地必須不是美國的我們中國才買
第三國也不是白癡,乾脆原本自己生產的都不吃了,全吃美國的
然後把自產的倒貨到中國去
這些倒貨商都是誰呢,經過調查都是中國名字的商人
只能說海外華商實在是精,而且打不死
這只是以大豆為例,幾乎所有中國反制美國的產品都有人倒貨
變成貿易戰後每項反制美國的產品都造成美國出口大增
只是直接輸送到中國的帳面上減量很多,但是從美國輸到全世界再倒貨回中國的量暴增
反觀美國這邊Trump狂人故意製造我跟全世界都打貿易戰的瘋子假象,讓你中國自我膨脹
現在沒多久,歐洲這邊也不跟美國打了,接下來很多國家排隊訪問白宮
他們白人根本就是一國的,怎麼吵都是抱著睡的
但是其實貿易戰打輸也不怎麼樣,面子沒了而已,經濟面影響不大
問題大的是在內需萎縮
經濟越是發展,竟然消費是降級而不是升級
最近對岸最火的就是拚多多,淘寶京東都快掛了
越爛越便宜的商品越火,因為人民消費力下降
未來淘寶的反制之道是降級天貓,研發出一個比拚多多更Low更低級的消費模式
去迎接急速萎縮的消費力市場
中國是不會崩潰啦,只是人民的生活品質急速下降
所有人把錢都被房地產榨乾,只能靠拚多多來省錢
中美兩國若是真的在戰經濟的話
貿易戰的大勝其實效果不大
萎縮的內需才是美國想要看到的
※ 引述《afflic (afflic)》之銘言:
: as title
: 蠻好奇在中國工作的各位
: 對現在的中美貿易戰有些什麼看法?
: PTT上貌似是一面倒的看衰中國
: 從目前美歐日聯合抗中的情況、以及近期A股的走勢看來
: 的確好像也不太樂觀
: 但中國這邊感覺對這個議題的討論沒有很多(或者我不知道?)
: 跟大陸人討論這件事情,感覺他們對自己的經濟實力好像又過度自信
: 所以才想問問看各位在中國工作的台灣人的想法
: 對於最近的貿易戰
: 會不會讓自己對於在中國工作產生動搖呢?
--
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大陸工作
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